Future Hall Of Famers Jacob DeGrom
MLB same-game parlay: Touted Phillies rookie pitcher Andrew Painter set for MLB launching Tuesday vs. Nationals
Top prospect Andrew Painter makes his MLB debut Tuesday vs. the Nationals, and I have a same-game parlay
There are a great deal of interesting stories around Major League Baseball on a generally hectic Tuesday in regards to guys making their first start of the year on the mound. Future Hall of Famers Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer and Shohei Ohtani all are set for their 2026 pitching debuts, for instance, But I'll focus on Nationals-Phillies because it's the big-league debut of touted Philadelphia novice right-hander Andrew Painter. It's a 6:40 ET very first pitch on MLB Network.
Painter is the ranked as the No. 26 overall prospect in the sport via MLB.com and No. 2 on the Phillies behind shortstop Aidan Miller, who is No. 21. Painter begins his career at +2000 for NL Rookie of the Year. Outfielder Justin Crawford, the No. 51 total possibility who is hitting.333, is +2200. The Phils are attempting to get younger on the fly as last year they had the second-oldest collection of position players (typical age: 30.3) and seventh-oldest pitching personnel (30) in the majors.
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The 6-foot-7, 215-pound Painter was the No. 13 overall choice in the 2021 MLB Draft out of a Florida high school with a general grade of 55 on a scale of 20-80 and a fastball graded at 70. He's considered the top pitching possibility in the company given that future World Series MVP Cole Hamels more than 20 years back. A few guys from that 2021 draft class already have made a pretty huge impact in the majors, such as Washington outfielder James Wood, Cincinnati starting pitcher Andrew Abbott and San Diego closer Mason Miller.
Painter controlled Double-A in his very first full minor-league season and was named Baseball America's finest pitcher in the minors in 2022. But then his profession got sidetracked by Tommy John surgery that kept him off a mound for 2023 and '24. In 2015 throughout two levels of the minors, he was 5-8 with a 5.26 ERA in 26 starts as his fastball command came and went, common for guys off TJS and plainly not multitudes.
But his fastball balanced 95.6 mph in the minor leagues last year and reached 100.2 mph. The Phillies also had a gaping hole in the rotation after losing Ranger Suarez to free firm and with ace Zack Wheeler recuperating from thoracic outlet decompression surgery. So Painter had a clear opening this spring and took it with a 2.31 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in four trips covering 11.2 innings to get the No. 5 spot.
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For this season, FanGraphs projects Painter at 7-8 with a 4.62 ERA in 124.0 innings, which certainly would not be enough to win NL Rookie of the Year. Hamels didn't win that, and the only Phillies pitcher to do so was Jack Sanford in 1957.
Sitting 10 days shy of his 23rd birthday. Painter will be the youngest pitcher to start a video game for the Phillies since Suárez on Aug. 16, 2018. Assuming Crawford plays center field tonight, it will mark the first time the Phils have an under-age 23 beginning pitcher and position player in a video game considering that Aug. 7, 2015 when they were Aaron Nola and Maikel Franco.
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It's expected to be the most highly anticipated debut by a homegrown Phillies pitcher since Hamels on May 12, 2006, when he took a no-decision in Cincinnati with 5 nothing innings, allowing simply one hit with seven strikeouts. Hamels was a bit worried with 5 strolls, and I'll be playing Painter Over 1.5 for the same reason. His entire household and even high school coach will be in participation. DraftKings lists him at Over/Under 2.5 made runs, 14.5 outs and 4.5 strikeouts, while the SportsLine Projection Model has him at 5.1 innings, 5.0 strikeouts and 2.7 earned runs.
Painter just requires to be extra careful with Washington outfielder Joey Wiemer. He had an MLB-record-tying streak of 10 consecutive plate looks to open the season snapped Monday however after singling in his first two at-bats. Wiemer is hitting a cool MLB-best.800 on the season. Fairly specific that's not sustainable.
Nationals-Phillies DraftKings same-game parlay (+100 )
Phillies ML
Alt Under 11.5
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I do not have a huge lean on Painter general but think he pitches quite well, and the Phils win even if they aren't hitting much at.189. The Nats will open with former minor-league journeyman in 29-year-old PJ Poulin as the opener. Zack Littell likely is the primary behind him. The SportsLine Projection Model has Phillies 5.7-5.4.